Publicação
Synergy valuation of a potential acquisition by Amazon
| Resumo: | This thesis performs a comprehensive valuation of Einride AB, a Swedish autonomous electric freight company, to determine its optimal exit strategy. Using a scenario-based Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model cross-checked with trading and transaction multiples, we estimate a Base Case Enterprise Value of USD 1.7 billion. This valuation validates the company’s potential to achieve profitable scale with its integrated "Freight-as-a-Service" business model, positioning a US-based Initial Public Offering (IPO) as the superior value-maximizing path. Alternatively, within the context of a downside scenario, I evaluate a potential strategic acquisition by Amazon and quantify the associated synergies achievable. |
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| Autores principais: | Engbers, Ramon |
| Assunto: | Pre-IPO valuation Autonomous electric freight Discounted cash flow Synergy valuation |
| Ano: | 2026 |
| País: | Portugal |
| Tipo de documento: | dissertação de mestrado |
| Tipo de acesso: | acesso aberto |
| Instituição associada: | Universidade Nova de Lisboa |
| Idioma: | inglês |
| Origem: | Repositório Institucional da UNL |
| Resumo: | This thesis performs a comprehensive valuation of Einride AB, a Swedish autonomous electric freight company, to determine its optimal exit strategy. Using a scenario-based Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model cross-checked with trading and transaction multiples, we estimate a Base Case Enterprise Value of USD 1.7 billion. This valuation validates the company’s potential to achieve profitable scale with its integrated "Freight-as-a-Service" business model, positioning a US-based Initial Public Offering (IPO) as the superior value-maximizing path. Alternatively, within the context of a downside scenario, I evaluate a potential strategic acquisition by Amazon and quantify the associated synergies achievable. |
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