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The EU ETS: a tale of arbitrage opportunities

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Resumo:This work studies the presence of arbitrage opportunities following the announcements of the Market Stability Reserve of the EU ETS on May 2017, using the cost of carry model and three EUA futures contracts – December 2016, December 2017 and December 2018. The results suggest a long-run link between the spot and futures prices, but the cost of carry model does not explain well the price dynamics in the short run, which might be a sign for the presence of arbitrage opportunities in this market. These conclusions are especially important for European authorities, since they convey the inefficiency of the scheme.
Autores principais:Reis, Nuno Alexandre Tirapicos Dos Santos
Assunto:Energy finance European carbon market European Union emissions trading scheme
Ano:2019
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:dissertação de mestrado
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório Institucional da UNL
Descrição
Resumo:This work studies the presence of arbitrage opportunities following the announcements of the Market Stability Reserve of the EU ETS on May 2017, using the cost of carry model and three EUA futures contracts – December 2016, December 2017 and December 2018. The results suggest a long-run link between the spot and futures prices, but the cost of carry model does not explain well the price dynamics in the short run, which might be a sign for the presence of arbitrage opportunities in this market. These conclusions are especially important for European authorities, since they convey the inefficiency of the scheme.