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Customer Churn Prediction in Portuguese Banking Sector: Using a Machine Learning Approach

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Resumo:This study focuses on developing a predictive model for customer churn in a Portuguese bank, using machine learning techniques. Following the CRISP-DM methodology, the analysis encompasses comprehensive EDA, data preparation and visualizations, laying the foundation for model selection. Whitin the subset of evaluated models, such as tree-based and ensembled models, Gradient Boosting emerges as a standout performer, demonstrating notable predictive capabilities. Beyond the identification of customers at risk to churn, this model provides valuable insights, crafting proactive retention strategies. The precision in identifying customers with a high probability of churn enhances informed decision-making. For that reason, an interactive dashboard is developed to empower stakeholders in addressing potential churn risks. These findings underscore the importance of leveraging machine learning in banking scenarios, emphasizing the potential for predictive analytics to enhance customer retention strategies and overall business outcomes.
Autores principais:Pires, Inês Tomás
Assunto:Banking Sector Business Intelligence Customer Churn Machine Learning Power BI SDG 8 - Decent work and economic growth SDG 9 - Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Ano:2024
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:dissertação de mestrado
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório Institucional da UNL
Descrição
Resumo:This study focuses on developing a predictive model for customer churn in a Portuguese bank, using machine learning techniques. Following the CRISP-DM methodology, the analysis encompasses comprehensive EDA, data preparation and visualizations, laying the foundation for model selection. Whitin the subset of evaluated models, such as tree-based and ensembled models, Gradient Boosting emerges as a standout performer, demonstrating notable predictive capabilities. Beyond the identification of customers at risk to churn, this model provides valuable insights, crafting proactive retention strategies. The precision in identifying customers with a high probability of churn enhances informed decision-making. For that reason, an interactive dashboard is developed to empower stakeholders in addressing potential churn risks. These findings underscore the importance of leveraging machine learning in banking scenarios, emphasizing the potential for predictive analytics to enhance customer retention strategies and overall business outcomes.