Publicação
Understanding risk factors of post-stroke mortality
| Resumo: | Stroke is one of the leading causes of death worldwide. Understanding the risk factors for post-stroke mortality is crucial for improving patient outcomes. This study analyzes and predicts post-stroke mortality using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS), a functional neurological evaluation scale. Several Machine Learning models were developed and assessed using a dataset of 332 stroke patients from Hospital de Faro, Portugal, from 2016 to 2018. The Random Forest model outperformed others, achieving an accuracy of 98.5% and a recall of 91.3. Twenty-four risk factors were identified, with stroke severity as the most critical. These findings provide healthcare professionals with valuable tools for early identification and intervention for high-risk stroke patients, enabling informed decision-making and customized treatment plans. This research advances healthcare predictive analytics, offering a precise mortality prediction model and a comprehensive analysis of risk factors, potentially improving clinical outcomes and reducing mortality rates. Future applications could extend to patient monitoring and management across various medical conditions. |
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| Autores principais: | Castro, David |
| Outros Autores: | António, Nuno; Marreiros, Ana; Nzwalo, Hipólito |
| Assunto: | Risk factors analysis Stroke Mortality Machine learning Modified Rankin scale General Neuroscience Health Informatics Health Information Management SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being |
| Ano: | 2025 |
| País: | Portugal |
| Tipo de documento: | artigo |
| Tipo de acesso: | acesso aberto |
| Instituição associada: | Universidade Nova de Lisboa |
| Idioma: | inglês |
| Origem: | Repositório Institucional da UNL |
| Resumo: | Stroke is one of the leading causes of death worldwide. Understanding the risk factors for post-stroke mortality is crucial for improving patient outcomes. This study analyzes and predicts post-stroke mortality using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS), a functional neurological evaluation scale. Several Machine Learning models were developed and assessed using a dataset of 332 stroke patients from Hospital de Faro, Portugal, from 2016 to 2018. The Random Forest model outperformed others, achieving an accuracy of 98.5% and a recall of 91.3. Twenty-four risk factors were identified, with stroke severity as the most critical. These findings provide healthcare professionals with valuable tools for early identification and intervention for high-risk stroke patients, enabling informed decision-making and customized treatment plans. This research advances healthcare predictive analytics, offering a precise mortality prediction model and a comprehensive analysis of risk factors, potentially improving clinical outcomes and reducing mortality rates. Future applications could extend to patient monitoring and management across various medical conditions. |
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