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Migration Dynamics in Brazil: A Spatial Econometric Analysis

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Resumo:People are increasingly opting to migrate in pursuit of a better life, a trend that has substantially influenced the polarization of social and economic development observed in Brazil and abroad. Voluntary migration can be motivated by numerous reasons, yet economic opportunities seem to have a recurrent importance in modern migration. This study employs econometric models—including Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Spatial Auto Regression (SAR), Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), Mixed Geographically Weighted Regression (MixedGWR), and Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MultiscaleGWR)—to estimate the impact of socioeconomic factors on individuals' decisions to migrate to, from, and within Brazil. Through census data on emigration, immigration, and internal migration, the study aims to provide a broad understanding of migration determinants across 557 micro-regions of the federated Brazilian union by combining spatial econometric models and economic theory arguments. Additionally, the author provides a custom foundation model (LxM) to facilitate the exploration of referenced articles and books through a generative discovery search engine for his thesis. The concluding remarks highlight the importance of broader policies to mitigate migration issues, as it is a cause and a consequence of economic concentration in a multiscale core-periphery socioeconomic system.
Autores principais:Viegas, Guilherme
Assunto:Migration Core-Periphery Brazil Spatial Econometrics Globalization
Ano:2025
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:dissertação de mestrado
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório Institucional da UNL
Descrição
Resumo:People are increasingly opting to migrate in pursuit of a better life, a trend that has substantially influenced the polarization of social and economic development observed in Brazil and abroad. Voluntary migration can be motivated by numerous reasons, yet economic opportunities seem to have a recurrent importance in modern migration. This study employs econometric models—including Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Spatial Auto Regression (SAR), Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), Mixed Geographically Weighted Regression (MixedGWR), and Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MultiscaleGWR)—to estimate the impact of socioeconomic factors on individuals' decisions to migrate to, from, and within Brazil. Through census data on emigration, immigration, and internal migration, the study aims to provide a broad understanding of migration determinants across 557 micro-regions of the federated Brazilian union by combining spatial econometric models and economic theory arguments. Additionally, the author provides a custom foundation model (LxM) to facilitate the exploration of referenced articles and books through a generative discovery search engine for his thesis. The concluding remarks highlight the importance of broader policies to mitigate migration issues, as it is a cause and a consequence of economic concentration in a multiscale core-periphery socioeconomic system.