Publicação
The dynamic relationship between stock market indexes and foreign exchange
| Resumo: | This empirical study analyses the dynamic relationship between the FTSE 100 Index and the Euro STOXX 50 Index and the USD/EUR and USD/GBP exchange rates, from January 2007 to April 2017. The Johansen co-integration tests suggest that these variables have a long-term relationship. The Granger causality test was conducted through the use of VECM equations, showing that the FTSE 100 and the Euro STOXX 50 Index both have a causal feedback relationship. A unidirectional relationship was found between the FTSE 100 Index stock prices and the USD/EUR exchange rate. The presence of a unidirectional relationship between the USD/GBP exchange rate and FTSE 100 and Euro STOXX 50 Index stock prices was also detected. |
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| Autores principais: | Garcia, Maria Teresa |
| Outros Autores: | Rodrigues, Ana Catarina Gomes |
| Assunto: | cointegration Granger causality USD/EUR and USD/GBP exchange rates European stock indexes |
| Ano: | 2019 |
| País: | Portugal |
| Tipo de documento: | working paper |
| Tipo de acesso: | acesso aberto |
| Instituição associada: | Universidade de Lisboa |
| Idioma: | inglês |
| Origem: | Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa |
| Resumo: | This empirical study analyses the dynamic relationship between the FTSE 100 Index and the Euro STOXX 50 Index and the USD/EUR and USD/GBP exchange rates, from January 2007 to April 2017. The Johansen co-integration tests suggest that these variables have a long-term relationship. The Granger causality test was conducted through the use of VECM equations, showing that the FTSE 100 and the Euro STOXX 50 Index both have a causal feedback relationship. A unidirectional relationship was found between the FTSE 100 Index stock prices and the USD/EUR exchange rate. The presence of a unidirectional relationship between the USD/GBP exchange rate and FTSE 100 and Euro STOXX 50 Index stock prices was also detected. |
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