Publicação
How long is the long time? : A critical review of historical methods in economic research
| Resumo: | The current paper reviews and discusses some of the constitutive trends in long-wave analysis and namely the methods employed in order to establish or to demonstrate the cyclical pattern or the recurrence of long term fluctuations. The traditional antinomy between trend and cycle, as well as the double decomposition method it implies, are criticised and refuted Some analyses of the frequency domain are also discussed The paper suggest that new avenues for research are opened by the desirable alliance between the complexity approach and historical methods, and that the use of nonparametric statistical and dynamic methods are necessary conditions for the inquiry about evolution and change -and that is what the Long Waves research program is about. |
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| Autores principais: | Louçã, Francisco |
| Assunto: | Epistemology Theory Economic History Epistemologia Teoria História Económica Epistemologia |
| Ano: | 1997 |
| País: | Portugal |
| Tipo de documento: | working paper |
| Tipo de acesso: | acesso aberto |
| Instituição associada: | Universidade de Lisboa |
| Idioma: | inglês |
| Origem: | Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa |
| Resumo: | The current paper reviews and discusses some of the constitutive trends in long-wave analysis and namely the methods employed in order to establish or to demonstrate the cyclical pattern or the recurrence of long term fluctuations. The traditional antinomy between trend and cycle, as well as the double decomposition method it implies, are criticised and refuted Some analyses of the frequency domain are also discussed The paper suggest that new avenues for research are opened by the desirable alliance between the complexity approach and historical methods, and that the use of nonparametric statistical and dynamic methods are necessary conditions for the inquiry about evolution and change -and that is what the Long Waves research program is about. |
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