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Equity valuation of McDonald's corporation

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Bibliographic Details
Summary:This thesis aims to conduct a comprehensive valuation of McDonald’s Corporation stocks as of December 31, 2024. The company, listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and part of the S&P 500 index, is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, USA. McDonald’s journey is marked by entrepreneurship, focused leadership, and notable achievements, personified by its founder Ray Kroc, who partnered with Richard and Maurice McDonald after the success of their remarkable restaurant in San Bernardino, California, and the innovative “Speedee Service System”, which featured 15-cent hamburgers. The analysis includes an examination of the industry, economic context, and a detailed financial assessment of the company. The primary valuation method employed is the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), which involves discounting estimated future cash flows by the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) combined with the growth rate. The valuation results in a share price of $310,18, indicating a 4,61% upside potential compared to the value on December 31, 2023. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis and a comparison valuation using the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) were performed as well as a comparative analysis with an external valuation conducted by Evercore, offering readers additional insights into the methodology and outcomes of the valuation. Finally, an investment note has been issued (only for academic purposes), providing a Hold recommendation.
Main Authors:Lopes, Luís Ricardo Lourenço
Subject:Equity research McDonald’s Quick service restaurants (QSR) DCF Avaliação financeira Restauração de serviço rápido
Year:2024
Country:Portugal
Document type:master thesis
Access type:open access
Associated institution:Universidade Católica Portuguesa
Language:English
Origin:Veritati - Repositório Institucional da Universidade Católica Portuguesa
Description
Summary:This thesis aims to conduct a comprehensive valuation of McDonald’s Corporation stocks as of December 31, 2024. The company, listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and part of the S&P 500 index, is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, USA. McDonald’s journey is marked by entrepreneurship, focused leadership, and notable achievements, personified by its founder Ray Kroc, who partnered with Richard and Maurice McDonald after the success of their remarkable restaurant in San Bernardino, California, and the innovative “Speedee Service System”, which featured 15-cent hamburgers. The analysis includes an examination of the industry, economic context, and a detailed financial assessment of the company. The primary valuation method employed is the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), which involves discounting estimated future cash flows by the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) combined with the growth rate. The valuation results in a share price of $310,18, indicating a 4,61% upside potential compared to the value on December 31, 2023. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis and a comparison valuation using the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) were performed as well as a comparative analysis with an external valuation conducted by Evercore, offering readers additional insights into the methodology and outcomes of the valuation. Finally, an investment note has been issued (only for academic purposes), providing a Hold recommendation.